To all that, based on late-arriving data, I added: In terms of early voting, the terrific L2 site has a great dashboard that reports as of yesterday, when 3.8% of early voter ballots had been requested, the early requests were coming in 44% Democrat and 28% Republican. There was also a gender gap, 55% women and 45% men. Both favor Democrats. To those wishful-thinking Democrats who say Florida is in play, either for President or Senate (given that Scott has never run in a presidential year, has always won by low single digits AND an abortion question is on the ballot), I would point out that, in 2020 the Democrats had 97,215 MORE registered voters than Republicans. Today, the Republicans enjoy a registration advantage of 1,026,200 . . . a 1.1+ million shift in favor of Republican registrants. To those equally hopeful Democrats who say the disgraced GOP Governor nominee in North Carolina could make it hard for Trump to carry the state, in 2016 Trump carried North Carolina by 3.66 points while Democrat Governor Roy Cooper was elected by 0.22 points and in 2020, Trump carried the state by 1.34 points while Cooper was re-elected by 4.51 points. While Robinson is headed to lose by far more than Cooper ever won, it is still hard to see a sufficient up-ticket “drag” on Trump, but his victories in the Tar Heel state have always been close and he HAS to win it (and Georgia). Based on headlines, while analysis remains mixed, the momentum is, TODAY, with Harris. While Gallup on September 24 reported, “2024 Election Environment Favorable to GOP,” on September 25 the NEW YORK TIMES reported Nate Cohn’s view, “Republicans’ Electoral College Edge, Once Seen as Ironclad, Looks to Be Fading” (a view Nate Silver has since endorsed), and in bright-red Alabama, AL.COM reported, “Oddsmakers, heavyweight pollster see major shift in the Kamala Harris, Donald Trump race.” We’re still 38 days from the election . . . and a possible “October Surprise” (although what is left by which we could be surprised, all the tragic international horrors notwithstanding?). More to come. John